The AI That Beat the Polls: Its Election Prediction Missed by Just 0.4%
Andy Biggs won Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary with 73.3% of the vote. Weeks earlier, before a single ballot was counted, G Ratings had already projected 73.7%. The distance between forecast and reality: four-tenths of one percent.
That kind of precision is rare in a state where polling has historically been treacherous. From the ranchlands of Cochise County to the retirement communities ringing Prescott, Arizona's electorate splits along lines that don't show up cleanly in a phone survey, rural conservatives skeptical of any pollster's call, border communities with their own turnout rhythms, and a mail-in ballot system that can shift a race by several points in the final two weeks. It's exactly the kind of environment where G Ratings, the Miami, Florida-headquartered political research firm, chose to continue testing its proprietary AI platform, Odysseus (Odiseo), ahead of the 2026 midterms.
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31 липня 2026
